Powell Shock
Powell Shock.
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November’s FOMC delivered yet another shock.
The market that everyone thought had already taken enough of a beating over the past month…
We will rebuild America from zero.
There had still been more room to fall.
Powell had not softened his hawkish stance in the slightest.
Hope completely evaporated, plunging the stock market into pure panic.
He had been the Dark Knight protecting the US market all along……
Investors felt nothing but bitter resentment.
Every time Powell opened his mouth, stock prices dropped.
Investment sentiment was completely crushed.
No—buying stocks at all felt like pure idiocy.
So why not just go the opposite direction?
The bears had every reason to feel empowered.
For the past several years the market had only gone up.
Nasdaq investors found it nearly impossible to flip their thinking.
She shorted 3x at the top right after the CPI print holy shit
That pioneer.
Sora’s stream was drawing serious attention.
Word was spreading quietly among US stock investors.
Is this the YouTuber who made 20% shorting?
"Yes, that's right. You came to the right place."
She didn’t mind it at all.
Unlike when people flocked just because they liked her looks.
Because this time I’m being recognized for my skill.
For a reason like that, she was fine becoming a hot topic as much as they wanted.
No—she actually wished they would hype her more.
The market was gripped by terror.
Two consecutive FOMCs had confirmed that Powell was a true hawk.
"It feels sad making money off the market’s pain, but as an investor I decided I had to make the call."
She had seen it coming, bet on the decline, and made money.
It stirred a strange feeling.
So this is the taste of shorting.
Making money in a market where everyone else was losing.
The thought that only she had invested wisely.
If she had still been a novice, she might have fallen for it.
She would have committed the sin of getting high on superiority.
Click, clack!
She knew the danger.
Getting trapped in confirmation bias.
She had seen club members end up exactly like that.
In the end stocks are a bet on currency devaluation and rising asset values.
People forget the fundamental principle.
That is why an investor must always watch market changes with extreme care.
Osung Electronics 41,500 won −1.22%
SQ Technics 69,000 won −2.01%
Osung Biologics 338,000 won −2.78%
Posco 275,500 won −0.85%
Helji Chemical 360,000 won −3.5%
Recent stock prices.
They had fallen massively.
To levels no one could have imagined even at the start of the year.
This is not the time to be paralyzed by fear.
Powell’s hawkish remarks were clearly a negative catalyst.
But they could not suppress the rise forever.
From a valuation standpoint, undervalued.
Periods when you could pick up stocks this cheaply were rare.
"I sold all my SQQQ at last night’s close. Starting today I’m going back into longs."
Value investing.
That was the style Sora aimed for.
Tasting the bitter and spicy sides of the stock market had made her reconsider.
But she had not given up.
She had simply learned that the path was far more complex and difficult than she had imagined.
Then I’ll just walk it.
She would take every previously unknown factor into account.
Looking at futures, charts, earnings, and every other indicator…
America’s raising rates and you’re buying stocks??
"Because that catalyst has already produced enough of a correction, I believe the current price has the bad news fully priced in."
This was the bottom right now.
Even if it fell further from here, the downside would not be large.
She put her decision into action exactly as she had resolved.
At the same time, expectation and anxiety crossed paths inside her.
Even if I take a loss, I won’t regret it.
Based on her own analysis.
She had bought because she believed the market’s bad news was already reflected.
If she was wrong, it was her own fault.
If she was right, her analysis and judgment had been correct.
As an investor, her heart pounded.
Fortunately, Sora’s thinking was not wrong.
The Fed’s stance did not grow any more aggressive.
And so Powell’s showtime came to an end.
Trump’s showtime was just beginning.
The stock market.
Even perfect analysis does not guarantee you will make money.
If that were possible…
The securities firms swimming in cash would mobilize every report and every economist to raise the reliability of their analysis.
There are limits.
That is why they run non-economic system funds like macro teams or CTAs.
"You don’t even look at the news or the data? It might not make sense, but you need an irrational perspective too."
"……."
"The market never moves the way you expect."
Psychology is also a critical indicator.
The same catalyst can be interpreted in completely opposite ways.
Lately the Trump administration’s debt ceiling issue is coming up.
If market sentiment had been good?
People would have brushed it off with “like that’s actually going to happen.”
Until the event truly explodes, everyone stays quiet.
The reflection into stock prices comes late.
"Right now people get scared ridiculously easily."
"That’s insane."
"You can also see it as shorting material."
Currently market sentiment was poor.
Because the downtrend had not broken.
That’s the stock market for you.
Psychology.
A major force that moves the market.
Just because you think you are rational does not mean you will not get swept up.
Sora was feeling it herself.
She had flipped her position and ended up underwater.
"I’m just gonna get twisted."
She lay on the bed fused into one with the blanket.
Apparently getting stuck in stocks was embarrassing.
That’s just how it is.
Bottoms or tops.
There is not a single investor on the entire planet who can call them perfectly.
Market madness is not a domain that can be predicted.
There was no need to treat it as a real mistake.
"What about you, senior?"
"I still haven’t sold."
"Ugh!"
"Selling is also a skill."
I was disposing of my positions in stages.
The put options had already expired, but I was still holding the short futures.
I need to keep them.
I was sensing market changes with high sensitivity.
I felt the trend had not yet reversed.
What would happen from here.
When the trend would reverse.
Even I could not know those parts.
Slap!
Sora was frustrated.
She had loudly declared she was buying stocks and immediately got stuck—it was mortifying.
Even when I smacked her big ass she showed no intention of getting up.
She had completely become one with the bed.
The impact feels insanely good though.
I could probably spend the whole day just spanking Sora’s ass like this.
But that would not be much fun.
"Why are you hitting me for real!"
"Because your ass is right there."
"I’m not in the mood for that kind of thing."
She rolled herself up in the blanket.
Even if I forced it, I would only get to use the hole a little.
If that’s the case…
There were plenty of other options.
Hye-ri had also moved in upstairs, so I could use her whenever I wanted.
"What do I have to do for you to let me?"
"When I escape from being stuck in stocks."
"What, you’re shutting down the hole?"
"Ah, for real!"
I wanted to use this sex machine.
The kind of machine that, once you push it in deep, squeezes out every drop of semen with a wet suck.
I need to develop her more too.
She was still fresh.
Despite having a body that got horny easily, she kept reacting like a virgin.
Because she lacked experience.
This was the period when she needed to try all sorts of things actively.
"It’s not like there’s no method."
"What is it?"
"You only wiggle that ass when you need something?"
"I’ll wiggle it, so hurry!"
The Trump administration’s debt ceiling issue.
In the end that was not the fundamental problem.
For market fear to be resolved, the Fed’s stance had to change.
Market-friendly remarks were needed.
"You’re saying you’ll analyze whether those remarks exist?"
"You think analyzing will make something that doesn’t exist appear?"
"Ugh!"
"We have to listen to what’s inside Powell’s heart."
"?"
It was what every investor in the world was waiting for.
They would pay any fortune to buy it.
Information that precious.
If there was a way to know it, there was only one.
Only the man himself would know.
I was going to go ask the person in question.